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SAN FRANCISCO, June 10 (Xinhua) -- New research suggests that the strength of a country's government plays a vital role in preventing violence at a time when climate change is expected to lead to more violence related to food scarcity.
"We've already started to see climate change as an issue that won't just put the coasts under water, but as something that could cause food riots in some parts of the world Shaquill Griffin Jersey ," said Bear Braumoeller, co-author of a study published in the Journal of Peace Research and associate professor of political science at the Ohio State University.
Knowing that "climate-induced food scarcity is going to become an increasingly big issue," Braumoeller conducted the study, titled "Food scarcity and state vulnerability: Unpacking the link between climate variability and violent unrest," with his former doctoral students Benjamin Jones, now at the University of Mississippi Ethan Pocic Jersey , and Eleonora Mattiacci, now at Amherst College.
As extreme weather such as droughts and floods could hurt agricultural production in some countries, leading to violence there or elsewhere by people who are desperate for food, the researchers estimated the effects of food insecurity and state vulnerability on the occurrence of violent uprisings in Africa for the years 1991 to 2011, and used a variety of measurements for both food shocks that lead to violence and to gauge the vulnerability of countries.
For the climate-related causes of food shocks, the researchers analyzed rainfall Malik McDowell Jersey , temperature and the international prices of food, including sudden increases in prices.
"We recognized that countries that imported food could be impacted by climate shocks in other parts of the world that suddenly increased prices, even if they weren't experiencing any significant weather impacts themselves," Braumoeller said.
When examining countries' vulnerabilities, the researchers analyzed a host of factors including a country's dependence on agricultural production, its imports Russell Wilson Vapor Untouchable Jersey , the strength of its political institutions and its wealth.
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